Human mobility analysis and visualization of economic impact of Covid 19 pandemic #2

Research and Development by

Ryosuke SHIBASAKI, Center for Spatial Information Science, The University of Tokyo / Satoru NAKAJO, Mitsubishi Research Institute, Inc.

Corresponding Research Area

Simulation and designing countermeasures against possible COVID-19 resurgence: predicting spreading of infection, estimating and verifying the effectiveness of countermeasures, and predicting deman

Estimating Changes of Expenditures Attributed to Human Mobility Changes

■After “the GoTo Travel Campaign” was launched, the expenditure associated with travel recovered about 80% of the previous year‘s level. “The GoTo Travel Campaign” is estimated to have been effective in encouraging the expenditure associated with travel all over the country.

■After “the GoTo Eat Campaign” was launched, the expenditure associated with eating out recovered about 80% of the previous year‘s level. However, the expenditure in downtown areas remains significantly depressed. 

⇒ Estimating change of expenditure associated with travel and non-travel from "travel trips”*1 and "non-travel trips".
 (Based on place of payment, year over year)

■Change in estimated expenditure (2020/2019, national total) 

■Change in estimated expenditure (retail and eating out, 2020/2019, national total)  

*1:Trips that are “more than 80 km from home” and “not a trip to workplace” are estimated as “travel trip” (including sightseeing and business trips) Trips of less than 80 km are not considered as “travel trips”.

■ Change in estimated expenditure (eating out, 2020/2019, 500m grid -cell)

< Shinjuku Kabuki-cho area >(mesh code:533945361)

<Yuraku-cho and Ginza area>(mesh code:533946013)

Reference  Data:LocationMind xPop (from LocationMind Inc.)
LocationMind xPop uses aggregated people flow data originally collected by NTT Docomo, Inc through their application service “Docomo Map Navi” using only the cell phone‘s location data collected upon user consent to the service’s auto GPS function, and then processed by NTT Docomo in entirety and statistically before being provided to LocationMind Inc. The original location data is GPS data (latitude, longitude) sent at a frequency of every 5 minutes at the shortest interval and does not include information that specifies individuals.