Infection Simulation based on Proposed Human Behavior Models derived from SNS and Press Data #14

■The effect of introducing vaccine passports is high, but early and simultaneous introduction is important.
■Implementing third vaccinations after eight months is too slow. Even if bringing that forward is not possible, a simultaneous start in the New Year will be essential.
■The situation during the next spread of infections will be different from previous occasions.
➡︎Infections will expand gradually while vaccine effects continue to decrease gradually.
➡︎October and November are the calm before the storm.
➡︎Both third vaccinations and vaccine passports will suppress the spread of infections while we wait for the emergence of medications, etc.

■Predictions in the cases where third vaccinations are implemented at four and eight months after the second vaccination
The settings are made so that third vaccinations are not implemented before November.

■Predictions in the cases where vaccine passports are implemented in October and the actions of non-vaccinated people are suppressed to 30% and 50%
It is assumed that suppression of action will be similar to at the time of the first declaration of a state of emergency.

Kabukicho, Tokyo (Number of people in the area by time axis)

Shibuya Center Street, Tokyo (Number of people in the area by time axis)

Ikebukuro, Tokyo (Number of people in the area by time axis)

Harajuku, Tokyo (Number of people in the area by time axis)

Uneno Ameyoko, Tokyo (Number of people in the area by time axis)

South side of Shinagawa Station, Tokyo (Number of people in the area by time axis)

Tokyo Station, Tokyo (Number of people in the area by time axis)

Odaiba Tokyo Teleport, Tokyo (Number of people in the area by time axis)

Yokohama Station, Kanagawa (Number of people in the area by time axis)

Kawasaki Station, Kanagawa (Number of people in the area by time axis)

Hiyoshi Station, Kanagawa (Number of people in the area by time axis)

Kitashinchi, Osaka (Number of people in the area by time axis)

Kawaramachi, Kyoto (Number of people in the area by time axis)

Nakasu-Kawabata, Fukuoka (Number of people in the area by time axis)

Susukino, Hokkaido (Number of people in the area by time axis)