Analysis
■Estimation of how many suicides have increased as a result of COVID-19
■Hypothetical suicides in the absence of the COVID pandemic, calculated using pre-COVID unemployment rate projections and mathematical models of private think tank
■Estimates for the period from March 2020 to August 2021
■Past Analysis: "Suicides during and after COVID-19 period" (July 20, August 10, September 7)
■https://covid19outputjapan.github.io/JP/resources.html
Results 1
■Excessive suicide from March 2020 to August 2021 is approximately 4,400 people
■Portion that can be explained by the increased unemployment rate is 950
■Additional suicides due to the COVID pandemic include many younger people
■Total: About 4,400 people
■Females in the 20s: About 690 people
■Males in the 30s: About 500 people
■There are few elderly people
Results 2
■Years of life expectancy lost from additional suicides due to the COVID pandemic are "almost the same or slightly more" than years of life expectancy lost due to COVID-19 infections
■Years of life expectancy lost from suicides due to COVID-19
■About 190,000 years
■Equivalent to the life expectancy of 3,050 25-year-old women (average life expectancy of about 63 years)
■Years of life expectancy lost due to direct death from COVID-19 infection
■About 170,000 years
■Equivalent to the life expectancy of 2,730 25-year-old women (average life expectancy of about 63 years)